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Carlo Friedrich · Nov 1, 2026

UK Gambling Commission Shares Initial Open Banking Findings on Unlicensed Operator Payments

The UK Gambling Commission released its first open banking study focused on the black market on October 28 2026, and the analysis examined payment data directed toward unlicensed operators while drawing from a defined set of accounts to identify patterns in user behavior.
Study Scope and Data Collection Approach
Researchers tracked repeated payments from open banking accounts to sites operating outside the licensed framework, and the methodology concentrated on individuals who showed multiple transactions rather than one-off activity because this approach allowed clearer identification of sustained engagement with illegal operators. Observers note that the data set remained limited to open banking channels, which means the study captured only those users who routed transactions through participating banks and excluded other payment methods such as cards or e-wallets that fall outside this visibility.
Key Overlap Between Licensed and Unlicensed Activity
Among individuals flagged for repeated payments to illegal sites, 91 percent also placed wagers with licensed operators, and licensed gambling volumes showed no substantial decline after the first detected illegal payments occurred. This pattern indicates that illegal play often supplements existing licensed activity instead of displacing it, while the stability in licensed spending suggests users maintain parallel relationships with both regulated and unregulated platforms. Data indicates this dual usage persisted across the observed period, and figures reveal that the initial shift to unlicensed sites did not trigger measurable withdrawal from the legal market.
Problem Gambling Indicators in the Findings
Problem gambling scores registered at significantly higher levels among those who used unlicensed sites compared with the broader population of licensed-only users, and researchers connected these elevated scores to the combined frequency of activity across both channels. The analysis further showed that repeated illegal payments correlated with intensified overall engagement, yet the study stopped short of establishing direct causation because additional variables such as session length or deposit frequency remained outside the tracked data points.

Limitations Highlighted in the Report
The Commission acknowledged that its narrow data base, restricted to open banking accounts, prevented any attempt to estimate the overall size of the black market, and analysts could not extrapolate total transaction volumes or participant numbers across the wider population. Because the study captured only detected payments within the sampled accounts, observers recognize that undetected activity and users who avoid open banking entirely remain invisible to the current methodology. Experts have observed that future iterations may expand the data sources to include additional payment rails, which would allow more comprehensive tracking while maintaining the focus on repeat offenders rather than isolated transactions.
Implications for Regulatory Monitoring
The findings underscore how illegal play tends to layer onto licensed gambling rather than replace it, and this supplementary dynamic presents distinct challenges for regulators who aim to reduce exposure to unlicensed operators. Those who have examined the October 28 2026 release note that the elevated problem gambling scores among dual users point toward a need for targeted interventions that address cross-channel behavior instead of treating the markets in isolation. The report, available through Gambling Commission channels, supplies baseline metrics that subsequent studies can build upon as open banking adoption grows and data visibility improves.
Conclusion
The October 2026 open banking study provides the first detailed look at payment flows to unlicensed gambling sites from within the UK regulated environment, and the documented overlap with licensed activity along with higher problem gambling indicators offers regulators concrete data points for ongoing monitoring. Limitations tied to the open banking sample and the inability to size the full market remain explicit in the findings, yet the patterns identified around supplementary usage and score differentials establish a reference point for future analysis as payment tracking capabilities evolve.